Far North Qld Bulls vs NQ Razorbacks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Far North Qld Bulls
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BSF
1 - 3
FNQ
13%
19%
68%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FNQ
3 - 0
CCA
71%
17%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FNQ
1 - 1
SUN
16%
19%
64%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
QAS
2 - 2
FNQ
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FNQ
1 - 3
BRI
15%
20%
65%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
NQ Razorbacks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
NQR
1 - 1
QAS
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BRI
4 - 3
NQR
85%
10%
4%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NQR
3 - 0
WMF
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GCS
2 - 1
NQR
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NQR
0 - 3
SUN
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -3 |