Far North Qld Bulls vs NQ Razorbacks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Far North Qld Bulls
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FNQ
2 - 1
BSF
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SUN
3 - 1
FNQ
79%
14%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
FNQ
0 - 2
BRI
13%
19%
69%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
QAS
0 - 4
FNQ
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
NQR
1 - 3
FNQ
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
NQ Razorbacks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
NQR
1 - 0
BRI
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BSF
0 - 0
NQR
12%
19%
70%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
NQR
4 - 1
CCA
74%
16%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
BRI
2 - 0
NQR
83%
12%
6%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
NQR
1 - 3
FNQ
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |