Fano vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 0
FAN
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FAN
2 - 1
SAN
51%
23%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ACG
1 - 1
FAN
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
FAN
1 - 1
FCC
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VIN
1 - 2
FAN
26%
25%
50%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
USP
2 - 1
CAR
41%
28%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
USP
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
USP
77%
16%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
USP
0 - 1
ACG
37%
27%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FCC
1 - 1
USP
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |