Fano vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
FAN
2 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 0
FAN
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FAN
0 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
FAN
38%
27%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
FAN
1 - 1
POR
38%
24%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SSS
2 - 0
NER
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
POR
2 - 3
SSS
34%
25%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SSS
3 - 0
SFF
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
REC
0 - 1
SSS
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SSS
0 - 0
TRA
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |