Fano vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
TER
2 - 1
FAN
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 0
GER
36%
29%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
SSS
1 - 1
FAN
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ASG
0 - 0
FAN
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 1
IMO
43%
28%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
SSS
2 - 1
IMO
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
RAV
2 - 0
SSS
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
SSS
1 - 1
FAN
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SSS
1 - 1
ASS
33%
30%
37%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GER
2 - 1
SSS
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |