Fano vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ARZ
0 - 1
FAN
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
REN
0 - 1
FAN
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
FAN
0 - 1
VIC
24%
28%
48%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
RAV
1 - 2
FAN
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 1
FER
26%
28%
46%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SSS
2 - 0
REN
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
SSS
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
SSS
0 - 2
MES
58%
23%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SSS
0 - 0
REG
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
PAD
1 - 1
SSS
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |