Fano vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GIU
1 - 1
FAN
24%
26%
50%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAN
0 - 0
MAC
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
FAN
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
FAN
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FAN
3 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SSS
3 - 0
FCC
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GIU
1 - 1
SSS
15%
21%
64%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SSS
4 - 1
OLY
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
SSS
15%
19%
67%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SSS
4 - 0
REC
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |