Fano vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MDC
2 - 4
FAN
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FAN
1 - 0
CSL
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
PRO
2 - 1
FAN
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FAN
3 - 1
SRM
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SDC
0 - 3
FAN
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
REC
1 - 0
OLY
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
EPD
0 - 0
REC
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
REC
1 - 2
GRC
74%
17%
10%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 0
REC
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
REC
1 - 1
LUC
66%
20%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |