Fano vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
58.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
0 - 0
FAN
70%
18%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FAN
3 - 1
NEA
34%
25%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PRG
4 - 1
FAN
82%
14%
5%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
FAN
2 - 1
USV
43%
27%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
FAN
66%
21%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PAG
3 - 1
ASM
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
PAG
22%
28%
50%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
RAA
74%
18%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 1
PAG
20%
27%
53%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 2
CHI
70%
20%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |