Fano vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
FAN
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
FAN
2 - 2
SSS
25%
26%
49%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
FAN
2 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 0
FAN
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FAN
0 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
POR
3 - 1
MON
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
TRA
25%
27%
48%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SFF
0 - 3
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
REC
18%
26%
56%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |