Fano vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MOD
2 - 0
FAN
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ARZ
1 - 1
FAN
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 1
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 0
LEG
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIS
0 - 0
FAN
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SSS
2 - 3
MAT
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAT
1 - 3
ASG
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
MAT
34%
28%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
2 - 2
CES
28%
23%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PAD
3 - 0
MAT
64%
23%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |