Fano vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 0
FAN
53%
24%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FAN
0 - 2
CIV
51%
25%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
FAN
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
FAN
1 - 1
TER
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FAN
1 - 1
ISE
58%
21%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 1
REC
77%
16%
8%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GIU
2 - 1
MAT
19%
25%
56%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 0
ANC
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 3
MAT
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 2
MAT
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |