Fano vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ACS
0 - 0
FAN
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FAN
1 - 0
ASG
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACP
1 - 0
FAN
37%
26%
38%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FAN
1 - 0
USP
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 0
FAN
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ASL
1 - 0
SAC
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
BV5
1 - 2
ASL
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
VFC
0 - 1
ASL
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ASL
2 - 3
PRO
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 0
ASL
16%
24%
61%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | -2 |