Fano vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GIU
4 - 1
FAN
48%
26%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 0
ACP
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
FAN
52%
24%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FAN
0 - 3
CRO
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
FAN
67%
20%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 1
LAQ
44%
25%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 2
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ACG
2 - 0
LAQ
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LAQ
4 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 2
CAR
24%
26%
50%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |