Fano vs Isernia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+109%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 2
FAN
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FAN
0 - 0
REC
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
GIU
1 - 0
FAN
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ANC
2 - 1
FAN
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
FAN
2 - 0
MAC
23%
23%
55%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
Isernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ISE
0 - 0
FER
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ISE
1 - 0
GIU
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 0
ISE
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MAC
4 - 0
ISE
73%
16%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ISE
1 - 1
REC
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |