Fano vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FER
5 - 1
FAN
62%
23%
16%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
FAN
0 - 2
MON
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
FAN
3 - 0
DEL
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
FAN
1 - 1
SCA
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FAN
5 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
GIU
1 - 1
MAC
18%
25%
57%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
GIU
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GIU
1 - 1
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIS
0 - 1
GIU
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GIU
2 - 1
MAT
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |