Lega Pro Relegation Playoffs Final
Global 3-1
Fano vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
FAN
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FAN
2 - 1
BV5
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ACL
1 - 2
FAN
43%
28%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FAN
0 - 0
MOD
26%
29%
45%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
VNZ
1 - 1
FAN
78%
16%
7%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
FAN
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
ANC
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
REG
0 - 1
FOR
67%
21%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 2
BV5
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TER
0 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |