Fano vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FCS
3 - 0
FAN
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 1
RAV
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 2
FAN
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 2
CES
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SSS
2 - 2
FAN
65%
22%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
CES
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
FER
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
IMO
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
ASG
1 - 1
FER
46%
27%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
FER
67%
22%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |