Fano vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIS
1 - 2
FAN
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FAN
3 - 1
MAT
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
FAN
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FAN
2 - 1
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 0
FAN
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
FER
3 - 0
AMI
76%
17%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
REC
0 - 1
FER
43%
26%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
FVE
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GIU
1 - 2
FER
26%
24%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FER
3 - 2
ISE
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |