Fano vs FC Celano Marsica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 1
FAN
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FAN
0 - 1
EBO
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 3
FAN
68%
20%
12%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 2
FCC
29%
28%
44%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
APR
0 - 0
FAN
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
LAQ
18%
23%
58%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
FCC
77%
16%
6%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 2
CAM
26%
27%
47%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ARZ
3 - 2
FCC
82%
12%
5%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 5
APR
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |