Fano vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
APR
0 - 0
FAN
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 2
GIU
38%
28%
35%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
GAV
2 - 1
FAN
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 0
ASM
29%
27%
44%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 0
FAN
53%
24%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 1
MIL
38%
27%
36%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
EBO
1 - 2
FCC
74%
17%
10%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
3 - 0
NEA
39%
26%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 0
FCC
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
TRA
17%
25%
59%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +2 |