Fano vs Ebolitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 3
FAN
68%
20%
12%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 2
FCC
29%
28%
44%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
APR
0 - 0
FAN
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 2
GIU
38%
28%
35%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
GAV
2 - 1
FAN
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ebolitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
EBO
2 - 0
CAM
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
EBO
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
EBO
1 - 2
FCC
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -3 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
NEA
0 - 0
EBO
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EBO
1 - 1
LAQ
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |