Fano vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
FAN
77%
16%
7%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
USP
1 - 0
FAN
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LAQ
1 - 0
FAN
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
FAN
1 - 0
GIU
38%
26%
35%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ACP
2 - 0
FAN
49%
25%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 2
CRO
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 1
ACP
45%
27%
28%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
CHI
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
ACS
49%
27%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ACG
1 - 1
CHI
29%
26%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |