Fano vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
FAN
52%
24%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FAN
0 - 3
CRO
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
FAN
67%
20%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 4
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FCC
3 - 1
FAN
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 1
USP
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VIN
3 - 0
ACP
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 1
ACS
51%
26%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACP
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 0
GIU
55%
25%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |