Fano vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
USP
0 - 2
FAN
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
FAN
3 - 0
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
FAN
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FAN
0 - 0
ACG
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FCC
0 - 0
FAN
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACP
1 - 1
SAC
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIN
1 - 3
ACP
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
ACP
2 - 5
FCV
39%
27%
34%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ACP
4 - 0
NOC
34%
28%
38%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
ACP
30%
28%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |