Fano vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
63.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FAN
87%
10%
4%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 2
CAS
43%
26%
31%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 0
FAN
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SAV
2 - 3
FAN
77%
16%
7%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 2
BV5
16%
24%
60%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 0
ASS
11%
21%
67%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
ASS
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ASS
3 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
USA
0 - 0
ASS
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |