Fano vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
USA
2 - 0
FAN
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 0
ASS
14%
23%
64%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FAN
87%
10%
4%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 2
CAS
43%
26%
31%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 0
FAN
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
FOR
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAN
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
MAN
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
MIL
81%
14%
5%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |