Fano vs Tolentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
FAN
28%
27%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 2
SAN
36%
28%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SSS
1 - 0
FAN
55%
25%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 1
MAT
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
FAN
17%
24%
59%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UST
1 - 0
ASD
35%
23%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
REC
3 - 0
UST
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
UST
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UST
0 - 1
VAS
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 0
UST
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |