Fanfulla vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CIS
2 - 3
FAN
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FAN
1 - 1
VBE
17%
19%
64%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SCA
3 - 1
FAN
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FAN
1 - 2
OLG
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
FAN
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 3
LEV
61%
20%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 0
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
VIR
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PON
4 - 1
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEC
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |