Fanfulla vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
56.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
FAN
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FAN
3 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
31%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CIS
2 - 3
FAN
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FAN
1 - 1
VBE
17%
19%
64%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SCA
3 - 1
FAN
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
INV
1 - 3
PAV
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 0
ASD
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
PAV
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 0
CHI
26%
24%
49%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 2
PAV
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |