Fana vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
13.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
10º
3º
29
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FAN
1 - 3
GIF
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 4
FAN
7%
11%
82%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
FAN
8 - 2
GRO
79%
13%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
LYS
1 - 0
FAN
62%
20%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 2
FRI
47%
22%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 2
STA
49%
20%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
SKE
4 - 0
LIL
25%
21%
55%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -3 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
LIL
0 - 1
SKJ
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
OTF
5 - 1
LIL
72%
14%
14%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 2
LOK
75%
15%
11%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |