Fana vs Bjarg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
7º
68
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 4 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 3
FAN
58%
20%
23%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FAN
2 - 2
LIL
80%
12%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AFK
4 - 2
FAN
35%
22%
43%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FAN
5 - 3
FFK
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 2
FAN
25%
19%
57%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bjarg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BJA
1 - 0
OTF
67%
18%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 2
BJA
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 2
BJA
18%
21%
62%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
BJA
3 - 1
HAU
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
BJA
44%
22%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |