Falko vs Starye Dorogi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
3º
5º
3º
0
6º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
3 | 6 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 6 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 6 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 6 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 4 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 1 |
6º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
0 | 0 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 0 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
FAL
58%
20%
23%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FAL
3 - 1
EDI
43%
21%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 1
FAL
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FAL
10 - 2
VIL
94%
5%
2%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
FAL
11%
14%
75%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Starye Dorogi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
FAL
58%
20%
23%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
STA
3 - 0
NEM
39%
21%
40%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BOB
1 - 1
STA
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
RES
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SPS
1 - 3
STA
21%
19%
60%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |