Falko vs Molodechno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
78.2%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
4%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.1%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
KRU
0 - 1
FAL
11%
16%
73%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
BER
0 - 4
FAL
12%
16%
72%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
FAL
5 - 0
EDI
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Molodechno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
EDI
1 - 7
MOL
5%
11%
84%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MOL
5 - 0
KOL
77%
14%
10%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MOL
0 - 4
KHI
78%
14%
8%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
KHI
0 - 0
MOL
12%
19%
69%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MOL
0 - 2
DNP
41%
24%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |