Falkirk vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.5%
3.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1908 |
FAL
4 - 1
GRE
87%
9%
5%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
GLA
2 - 2
FAL
68%
17%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
FAL
5 - 2
STM
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
HOM
2 - 3
FAL
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
FAL
2 - 1
MHE
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1908 |
KIL
2 - 2
STM
39%
24%
38%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
KIL
2 - 0
MHE
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
CEL
4 - 1
KIL
89%
8%
3%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
KIL
3 - 0
HIB
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
KIL
2 - 0
HAM
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |