Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
STR
1 - 1
FAL
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
FAL
2 - 0
ARB
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FAL
6 - 0
FOR
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ARB
0 - 0
FAL
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
PET
1 - 3
FAL
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
HOM
2 - 3
KIL
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
STJ
3 - 3
HOM
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HOM
2 - 1
GLA
16%
22%
63%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
ROS
0 - 0
HOM
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
HOM
5 - 0
AIR
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |