Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GLA
4 - 0
FAL
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FAL
6 - 0
CWB
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 0
LIV
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
QOS
3 - 0
FAL
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 1
ALL
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
HOM
1 - 0
RAI
73%
18%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
HIB
1 - 1
HOM
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HOM
5 - 1
DUM
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALL
0 - 1
HOM
21%
27%
52%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
QOS
0 - 3
HOM
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |