Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
KIL
1 - 2
FAL
53%
24%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
STM
1 - 1
FAL
48%
28%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FAL
1 - 3
GLA
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
HIB
2 - 0
FAL
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FAL
2 - 0
HAM
45%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 1
CEL
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
HOM
0 - 0
DUN
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
HAM
2 - 1
HOM
26%
30%
44%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
KIL
1 - 2
HOM
35%
29%
35%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
HOM
1 - 2
STJ
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |