Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1968 |
FAL
0 - 1
DUN
22%
25%
54%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
GLA
2 - 1
FAL
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
FAL
0 - 2
STM
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
HIB
3 - 2
FAL
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
FAL
2 - 1
AIR
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1968 |
HOM
0 - 1
CEL
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
ABE
1 - 2
HOM
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
HOM
1 - 1
GLA
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
AIR
2 - 1
HOM
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |