Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1968 |
FAL
1 - 1
DUN
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1968 |
KIL
3 - 0
FAL
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1968 |
STJ
0 - 1
FAL
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1968 |
FAL
0 - 1
CLY
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1968 |
GLA
2 - 0
FAL
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1968 |
HOM
3 - 2
MHE
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1968 |
ABE
2 - 0
HOM
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1968 |
CLY
6 - 3
HOM
46%
24%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1968 |
HOM
2 - 3
GLA
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1968 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |