Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1946 |
FAL
0 - 5
GLA
52%
22%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1946 |
CLY
4 - 0
FAL
44%
22%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1946 |
HAM
1 - 4
FAL
48%
22%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1939 |
PAR
2 - 0
FAL
41%
21%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1939 |
MHE
1 - 3
FAL
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1946 |
CEL
2 - 3
HOM
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1946 |
HOM
4 - 1
TLA
71%
15%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1946 |
HOM
1 - 4
PAR
74%
14%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1939 |
HAM
4 - 1
HOM
40%
21%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 1939 |
HOM
2 - 0
CLY
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |