Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
FAL
4 - 3
ALB
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
RAI
0 - 1
FAL
34%
23%
43%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1938 |
FAL
0 - 2
CLY
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1938 |
QUE
1 - 1
FAL
33%
22%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1938 |
HOM
6 - 2
FAL
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
HIB
4 - 0
HOM
25%
20%
55%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
HOM
1 - 5
CEL
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1938 |
PAR
3 - 1
HOM
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1938 |
HOM
4 - 2
TLA
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1938 |
HOM
6 - 2
FAL
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |