Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
CEL
7 - 0
FAL
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
CLY
1 - 2
FAL
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
FAL
1 - 1
AYR
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
HAM
0 - 2
FAL
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
FAL
3 - 0
GRE
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
HOM
2 - 0
GLA
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
HOM
2 - 2
STJ
73%
16%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
PAR
2 - 1
HOM
55%
21%
25%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
MHE
0 - 2
HOM
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |