Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1927 |
DUN
0 - 2
FAL
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1927 |
FAL
4 - 0
STJ
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1927 |
ABE
3 - 0
FAL
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1927 |
MHE
3 - 3
FAL
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1927 |
FAL
2 - 1
AIR
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1927 |
HOM
1 - 3
MHE
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1927 |
GLA
1 - 0
HOM
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1927 |
HOM
3 - 0
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1927 |
HAM
2 - 1
HOM
36%
23%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1927 |
HOM
4 - 3
CWB
61%
17%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |