Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1923 |
KIL
2 - 1
FAL
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1923 |
FAL
0 - 0
ABE
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1923 |
FAL
0 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1923 |
HAM
1 - 2
FAL
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1923 |
FAL
2 - 0
AYR
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1923 |
HOM
0 - 0
CEL
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1923 |
TLA
2 - 1
HOM
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1923 |
HOM
2 - 3
AYR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1923 |
GRE
1 - 0
HOM
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1923 |
HOM
0 - 0
GLA
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |