Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
STM
0 - 0
FAL
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
FAL
2 - 1
KIL
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1922 |
GRE
2 - 0
FAL
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1922 |
FAL
1 - 1
AYR
50%
23%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1922 |
RAI
2 - 1
FAL
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
HOM
3 - 1
TLA
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
HOM
0 - 1
QUE
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1922 |
RAI
3 - 1
HOM
55%
22%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1922 |
HOM
3 - 2
STM
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1922 |
HOM
0 - 2
HIB
55%
22%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |