Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1917 |
AIR
3 - 1
FAL
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1917 |
FAL
1 - 0
KIL
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1917 |
CLY
1 - 1
FAL
33%
22%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1917 |
FAL
1 - 3
CEL
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1917 |
DUM
4 - 1
FAL
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1917 |
HOM
1 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1917 |
MHE
4 - 0
HOM
37%
24%
40%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1917 |
HOM
1 - 0
HIB
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1917 |
QUE
4 - 0
HOM
27%
23%
50%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1917 |
HOM
2 - 1
STM
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |