Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
CLY
4 - 2
FAL
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
STM
2 - 0
FAL
22%
23%
55%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
FAL
2 - 0
GRE
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
MHE
4 - 1
FAL
23%
23%
55%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1914 |
AIR
3 - 2
FAL
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
HOM
4 - 0
RAI
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
QUE
0 - 4
HOM
18%
21%
61%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
HOM
3 - 1
AIR
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1914 |
HOM
3 - 1
HIB
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1914 |
HAM
1 - 3
HOM
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |