Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1913 |
CEL
4 - 0
FAL
47%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1913 |
FAL
4 - 3
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1913 |
HAM
1 - 1
FAL
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1913 |
KIL
1 - 1
FAL
25%
24%
52%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1913 |
FAL
0 - 1
RAI
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1913 |
HOM
1 - 0
QUE
83%
12%
5%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1913 |
AYR
0 - 4
HOM
36%
22%
42%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1913 |
HOM
3 - 1
AIR
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1913 |
HOM
0 - 1
MHE
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1913 |
HOM
0 - 2
FAL
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |