Scottish Premiership play-offs Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Falkirk vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
FAL
3 - 1
QOS
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
QOS
2 - 1
FAL
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FAL
3 - 1
ALL
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
FAL
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 1
RAI
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
HAM
10 - 2
GRE
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DUM
4 - 1
HAM
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HAM
2 - 1
ALL
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 1
HAM
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HAM
1 - 1
DUN
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |